Recent forecasts from GFS and other ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–28 °C, with light rain, high cloud cover, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating and supporting the tight market clustering around those three outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming potential if breaks in the overcast allow more insolation, pushing toward 28 °C, while persistent stratiform clouds and showers favor the lower end near 26 °C; historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context for the modest upside. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble spread and uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation timing, with implied probabilities allocating roughly 80 % combined weight to the 26–28 °C band. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 27?
27°C 35%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$455 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$130 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$43 Wol.
1%
24°C
$969 Wol.
3%
25°C
$2,090 Wol.
8%
26°C
$1,018 Wol.
22%
27°C
$881 Wol.
35%
28°C
$1,624 Wol.
27%
29°C
$801 Wol.
9%
30°C or higher
$378 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–28 °C, with light rain, high cloud cover, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating and supporting the tight market clustering around those three outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming potential if breaks in the overcast allow more insolation, pushing toward 28 °C, while persistent stratiform clouds and showers favor the lower end near 26 °C; historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context for the modest upside. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble spread and uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation timing, with implied probabilities allocating roughly 80 % combined weight to the 26–28 °C band. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,391Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–28 °C, with light rain, high cloud cover, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating and supporting the tight market clustering around those three outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming potential if breaks in the overcast allow more insolation, pushing toward 28 °C, while persistent stratiform clouds and showers favor the lower end near 26 °C; historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context for the modest upside. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble spread and uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation timing, with implied probabilities allocating roughly 80 % combined weight to the 26–28 °C band. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,391Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–28 °C, with light rain, high cloud cover, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating and supporting the tight market clustering around those three outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming potential if breaks in the overcast allow more insolation, pushing toward 28 °C, while persistent stratiform clouds and showers favor the lower end near 26 °C; historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context for the modest upside. Trader positioning reflects this narrow ensemble spread and uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation timing, with implied probabilities allocating roughly 80 % combined weight to the 26–28 °C band. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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