**Forecast consensus points to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those values.** Official guidance from the Met Office and GFS-based runs shows early-morning lows of 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 14 °C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern. Model spread remains modest because steering winds and moisture advection are well-resolved, keeping 18 °C, 19 °C, and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes while lower probabilities attach to 17 °C or 21 °C if cooling strengthens or lingering clouds break earlier than expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
21°C 40%
19°C 31%
20°C 23%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
16%
19°C
31%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
19°C 31%
20°C 23%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
15°C
$25 Wol.
1%
16°C
$79 Wol.
1%
17°C
$79 Wol.
3%
18°C
$521 Wol.
16%
19°C
$371 Wol.
31%
20°C
$355 Wol.
23%
21°C
$262 Wol.
40%
22°C
$246 Wol.
3%
23°C
$831 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$30 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those values.**
Official guidance from the Met Office and GFS-based runs shows early-morning lows of 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 14 °C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern. Model spread remains modest because steering winds and moisture advection are well-resolved, keeping 18 °C, 19 °C, and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes while lower probabilities attach to 17 °C or 21 °C if cooling strengthens or lingering clouds break earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,804Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those values.**
Official guidance from the Met Office and GFS-based runs shows early-morning lows of 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 14 °C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern. Model spread remains modest because steering winds and moisture advection are well-resolved, keeping 18 °C, 19 °C, and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes while lower probabilities attach to 17 °C or 21 °C if cooling strengthens or lingering clouds break earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,804Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those values.** Official guidance from the Met Office and GFS-based runs shows early-morning lows of 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 14 °C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern. Model spread remains modest because steering winds and moisture advection are well-resolved, keeping 18 °C, 19 °C, and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes while lower probabilities attach to 17 °C or 21 °C if cooling strengthens or lingering clouds break earlier than expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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