Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 29?
23°C 39%
22°C 27%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
5%
23°C 39%
22°C 27%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$373 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$1,156 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$373 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$256 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$109 Wol.
1%
20°C
$345 Wol.
2%
21°C
$933 Wol.
9%
22°C
$777 Wol.
27%
23°C
$1,113 Wol.
39%
24°C
$564 Wol.
22%
25°C or higher
$461 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,461Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,461Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania