Recent forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle near 16–17 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 48 % implied probability. Persistent southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5 °C. Current observations show surface dew points near 16 °C and weak pressure gradients, further supporting muted diurnal ranges. Traders are weighting these stable, moist conditions heavily while awaiting the next ECMWF and GFS runs that could shift the exact minimum by 1 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
16°C 48%
17°C 18%
18°C 18%
15°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
6%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
48%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 48%
17°C 18%
18°C 18%
15°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Wol.
6%
13°C
$54 Wol.
6%
14°C
$46 Wol.
5%
15°C
$0 Wol.
17%
16°C
$77 Wol.
48%
17°C
$0 Wol.
18%
18°C
$49 Wol.
18%
19°C
$80 Wol.
5%
20°C
$5 Wol.
6%
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle near 16–17 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 48 % implied probability. Persistent southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5 °C. Current observations show surface dew points near 16 °C and weak pressure gradients, further supporting muted diurnal ranges. Traders are weighting these stable, moist conditions heavily while awaiting the next ECMWF and GFS runs that could shift the exact minimum by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$326Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle near 16–17 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 48 % implied probability. Persistent southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5 °C. Current observations show surface dew points near 16 °C and weak pressure gradients, further supporting muted diurnal ranges. Traders are weighting these stable, moist conditions heavily while awaiting the next ECMWF and GFS runs that could shift the exact minimum by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$326Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle near 16–17 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 48 % implied probability. Persistent southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5 °C. Current observations show surface dew points near 16 °C and weak pressure gradients, further supporting muted diurnal ranges. Traders are weighting these stable, moist conditions heavily while awaiting the next ECMWF and GFS runs that could shift the exact minimum by 1 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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