Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
18°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C 33%
17°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
15%
15°C
33%
16°C
36%
17°C
40%
18°C
37%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
9%
18°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C 33%
17°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Wol.
9%
13°C
$0 Wol.
9%
14°C
$0 Wol.
15%
15°C
$0 Wol.
33%
16°C
$0 Wol.
36%
17°C
$36 Wol.
40%
18°C
$0 Wol.
37%
19°C
$0 Wol.
17%
20°C
$0 Wol.
16%
21°C
$5 Wol.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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