Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 34%
28°C 29%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
29%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 29%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$510 Wol.
2%
25°C
$369 Wol.
6%
26°C
$2,273 Wol.
13%
27°C
$1,078 Wol.
34%
28°C
$799 Wol.
29%
29°C
$1,013 Wol.
12%
30°C
$887 Wol.
3%
31°C
$115 Wol.
2%
32°C or higher
$165 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,651Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,651Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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