Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northwest winds of 20–30 km/h for Wellington on August 29, supporting daytime warming to a high near 15 °C. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach 13–14 °C under similar northerly flow that advects milder maritime air across the region. Minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal passages are expected to limit cooling, positioning 15 °C as the modal outcome while 16 °C remains plausible if winds strengthen or insolation exceeds guidance. Market-implied probabilities reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread ahead of the final observational window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 54%
16°C 38%
14°C 5%
17°C 5%
NOWE
$38,833 Wol.
NOWE
$38,833 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
54%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 38%
14°C 5%
17°C 5%
NOWE
$38,833 Wol.
NOWE
$38,833 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$900 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$2,860 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,050 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$1,426 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$8,484 Wol.
5%
15°C
$6,870 Wol.
54%
16°C
$6,967 Wol.
38%
17°C
$5,815 Wol.
5%
18°C
$4,706 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northwest winds of 20–30 km/h for Wellington on August 29, supporting daytime warming to a high near 15 °C. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach 13–14 °C under similar northerly flow that advects milder maritime air across the region. Minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal passages are expected to limit cooling, positioning 15 °C as the modal outcome while 16 °C remains plausible if winds strengthen or insolation exceeds guidance. Market-implied probabilities reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread ahead of the final observational window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,833Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northwest winds of 20–30 km/h for Wellington on August 29, supporting daytime warming to a high near 15 °C. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach 13–14 °C under similar northerly flow that advects milder maritime air across the region. Minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal passages are expected to limit cooling, positioning 15 °C as the modal outcome while 16 °C remains plausible if winds strengthen or insolation exceeds guidance. Market-implied probabilities reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread ahead of the final observational window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$38,833Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northwest winds of 20–30 km/h for Wellington on August 29, supporting daytime warming to a high near 15 °C. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach 13–14 °C under similar northerly flow that advects milder maritime air across the region. Minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal passages are expected to limit cooling, positioning 15 °C as the modal outcome while 16 °C remains plausible if winds strengthen or insolation exceeds guidance. Market-implied probabilities reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread ahead of the final observational window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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