Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 42%
24°C 36%
26°C or higher 12%
23°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
36%
25°C
42%
26°C or higher
12%
25°C 42%
24°C 36%
26°C or higher 12%
23°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$15 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$87 Wol.
1%
21°C
$97 Wol.
3%
22°C
$12 Wol.
4%
23°C
$30 Wol.
10%
24°C
$42 Wol.
36%
25°C
$194 Wol.
42%
26°C or higher
$28 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$548Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$548Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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