Trader sentiment for Wellington's lowest temperature on August 29 centers on forecast model consensus showing an overnight minimum near 9–11 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds. Recent high-pressure influence has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, allowing stronger radiative cooling after sunset, while persistent NW flow limits extreme drops by enhancing turbulent mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical minima around 8–10 °C, making the tight 50.5 %–46 % split between 11 °C and 10 °C reflect uncertainty in exact wind speeds and boundary-layer decoupling at official stations. Upcoming MetService and international model runs tonight will refine whether calm conditions permit a dip toward 10 °C or sustained mixing holds the low at 11 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
10°C 47%
9°C 4%
8°C 2%
7°C 2%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
47%
11°C
52%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 47%
9°C 4%
8°C 2%
7°C 2%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
47%
11°C
52%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wellington's lowest temperature on August 29 centers on forecast model consensus showing an overnight minimum near 9–11 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds. Recent high-pressure influence has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, allowing stronger radiative cooling after sunset, while persistent NW flow limits extreme drops by enhancing turbulent mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical minima around 8–10 °C, making the tight 50.5 %–46 % split between 11 °C and 10 °C reflect uncertainty in exact wind speeds and boundary-layer decoupling at official stations. Upcoming MetService and international model runs tonight will refine whether calm conditions permit a dip toward 10 °C or sustained mixing holds the low at 11 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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