**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a daily high near 99°F for Austin on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, and minimal cloud cover, positioning 98-99°F as the dominant market-implied outcome at 61.5%.** Persistent upper-level high pressure over the Southern Plains has maintained hot, dry conditions typical of late August, with dew points supporting heat indices near 105-106°F but little precipitation risk to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the 23% probability assigned to 100-101°F, reflecting minor upside variance in afternoon mixing or exact measurement sites. Lower probabilities for ranges below 97°F or above 102°F reflect the tight clustering of guidance around the seasonal norm of upper 90s, with no major model shifts or frontal intrusions expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 62%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 13%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 62%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 13%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$223 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$25 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$151 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$668 Wol.
13%
98-99°F
$5,910 Wol.
62%
100-101°F
$954 Wol.
23%
102-103°F
$422 Wol.
1%
104-105°F
$174 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$54 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$85 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a daily high near 99°F for Austin on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, and minimal cloud cover, positioning 98-99°F as the dominant market-implied outcome at 61.5%.** Persistent upper-level high pressure over the Southern Plains has maintained hot, dry conditions typical of late August, with dew points supporting heat indices near 105-106°F but little precipitation risk to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the 23% probability assigned to 100-101°F, reflecting minor upside variance in afternoon mixing or exact measurement sites. Lower probabilities for ranges below 97°F or above 102°F reflect the tight clustering of guidance around the seasonal norm of upper 90s, with no major model shifts or frontal intrusions expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,917Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a daily high near 99°F for Austin on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, and minimal cloud cover, positioning 98-99°F as the dominant market-implied outcome at 61.5%.** Persistent upper-level high pressure over the Southern Plains has maintained hot, dry conditions typical of late August, with dew points supporting heat indices near 105-106°F but little precipitation risk to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the 23% probability assigned to 100-101°F, reflecting minor upside variance in afternoon mixing or exact measurement sites. Lower probabilities for ranges below 97°F or above 102°F reflect the tight clustering of guidance around the seasonal norm of upper 90s, with no major model shifts or frontal intrusions expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,917Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a daily high near 99°F for Austin on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, and minimal cloud cover, positioning 98-99°F as the dominant market-implied outcome at 61.5%.** Persistent upper-level high pressure over the Southern Plains has maintained hot, dry conditions typical of late August, with dew points supporting heat indices near 105-106°F but little precipitation risk to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the 23% probability assigned to 100-101°F, reflecting minor upside variance in afternoon mixing or exact measurement sites. Lower probabilities for ranges below 97°F or above 102°F reflect the tight clustering of guidance around the seasonal norm of upper 90s, with no major model shifts or frontal intrusions expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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