**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a high of 28°C in Incheon on August 30, with Seoul nearby at 29°C, amid expected cloud cover and light rain (5–30 mm).** Multiple international models align closely, projecting 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers that reduce solar heating. This keeps 27°C and 28°C as the leading market outcomes (combined ~49% implied probability), with 26°C and 29°C close behind due to typical short-range model spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the cloud deck. A stronger or more persistent rain band could cap the peak at 26°C or below, while earlier clearing would allow brief warming toward 29–30°C. Late-August climatology for the region favors highs near 28–29°C, but the current pattern of increased moisture and reduced insolation from upstream systems favors the lower end of that range. Updated KMA guidance and morning model runs on August 29–30 will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 24%
26°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
14%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
10%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 24%
26°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$40 Wol.
1%
22°C
$40 Wol.
1%
23°C
$40 Wol.
1%
24°C
$10 Wol.
1%
25°C
$23 Wol.
10%
26°C
$20 Wol.
14%
27°C
$104 Wol.
26%
28°C
$293 Wol.
26%
29°C
$54 Wol.
24%
30°C
$90 Wol.
5%
31°C or higher
$10 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a high of 28°C in Incheon on August 30, with Seoul nearby at 29°C, amid expected cloud cover and light rain (5–30 mm).** Multiple international models align closely, projecting 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers that reduce solar heating.
This keeps 27°C and 28°C as the leading market outcomes (combined ~49% implied probability), with 26°C and 29°C close behind due to typical short-range model spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the cloud deck. A stronger or more persistent rain band could cap the peak at 26°C or below, while earlier clearing would allow brief warming toward 29–30°C.
Late-August climatology for the region favors highs near 28–29°C, but the current pattern of increased moisture and reduced insolation from upstream systems favors the lower end of that range. Updated KMA guidance and morning model runs on August 29–30 will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$709Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a high of 28°C in Incheon on August 30, with Seoul nearby at 29°C, amid expected cloud cover and light rain (5–30 mm).** Multiple international models align closely, projecting 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers that reduce solar heating.
This keeps 27°C and 28°C as the leading market outcomes (combined ~49% implied probability), with 26°C and 29°C close behind due to typical short-range model spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the cloud deck. A stronger or more persistent rain band could cap the peak at 26°C or below, while earlier clearing would allow brief warming toward 29–30°C.
Late-August climatology for the region favors highs near 28–29°C, but the current pattern of increased moisture and reduced insolation from upstream systems favors the lower end of that range. Updated KMA guidance and morning model runs on August 29–30 will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$709Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a high of 28°C in Incheon on August 30, with Seoul nearby at 29°C, amid expected cloud cover and light rain (5–30 mm).** Multiple international models align closely, projecting 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers that reduce solar heating. This keeps 27°C and 28°C as the leading market outcomes (combined ~49% implied probability), with 26°C and 29°C close behind due to typical short-range model spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the cloud deck. A stronger or more persistent rain band could cap the peak at 26°C or below, while earlier clearing would allow brief warming toward 29–30°C. Late-August climatology for the region favors highs near 28–29°C, but the current pattern of increased moisture and reduced insolation from upstream systems favors the lower end of that range. Updated KMA guidance and morning model runs on August 29–30 will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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