Persistent warm, humid air and elevated dew points near 24–25°C are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Seoul and Incheon, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered in the 24–26°C range for August 28. Short-range model guidance shows mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce net heat loss and maintain elevated surface temperatures through the night. Light easterly or northeasterly winds provide modest advection but little additional cooling. Current consensus across official and ensemble forecasts centers on a low near 25°C, with small spreads arising from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity; clearer breaks could allow brief dips toward 24°C while persistent cover favors 26°C. Market-implied odds closely track this narrow band of model outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C 23%
23°C 14%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
23%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C 23%
23°C 14%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
23%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air and elevated dew points near 24–25°C are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Seoul and Incheon, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered in the 24–26°C range for August 28. Short-range model guidance shows mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce net heat loss and maintain elevated surface temperatures through the night. Light easterly or northeasterly winds provide modest advection but little additional cooling. Current consensus across official and ensemble forecasts centers on a low near 25°C, with small spreads arising from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity; clearer breaks could allow brief dips toward 24°C while persistent cover favors 26°C. Market-implied odds closely track this narrow band of model outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania