Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30, with afternoon thunderstorms and east winds of 8–11 mph expected to cap daytime peaks amid high humidity. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 90.2°F climatological average while accounting for possible model shifts in storm timing or clearing that could push readings into the low 90s. Recent observations show heat indices exceeding 106°F, underscoring moisture-driven amplification, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide key signals for any adjustments to these implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on August 30?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 30?
90-91°F 42%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
94-95°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 42%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
94-95°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
79°F or below
$240 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$76 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$9 Wol.
3%
86-87°F
$95 Wol.
4%
88-89°F
$173 Wol.
19%
90-91°F
$724 Wol.
42%
92-93°F
$490 Wol.
25%
94-95°F
$53 Wol.
8%
96-97°F
$14 Wol.
3%
98°F or higher
$26 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30, with afternoon thunderstorms and east winds of 8–11 mph expected to cap daytime peaks amid high humidity. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 90.2°F climatological average while accounting for possible model shifts in storm timing or clearing that could push readings into the low 90s. Recent observations show heat indices exceeding 106°F, underscoring moisture-driven amplification, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide key signals for any adjustments to these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,911Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30, with afternoon thunderstorms and east winds of 8–11 mph expected to cap daytime peaks amid high humidity. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 90.2°F climatological average while accounting for possible model shifts in storm timing or clearing that could push readings into the low 90s. Recent observations show heat indices exceeding 106°F, underscoring moisture-driven amplification, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide key signals for any adjustments to these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,911Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30, with afternoon thunderstorms and east winds of 8–11 mph expected to cap daytime peaks amid high humidity. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 90.2°F climatological average while accounting for possible model shifts in storm timing or clearing that could push readings into the low 90s. Recent observations show heat indices exceeding 106°F, underscoring moisture-driven amplification, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide key signals for any adjustments to these implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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