Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, 2026, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight lows are projected around 13–16°C, below the 1991–2020 average of 18.2°C, with recent observations showing a cooling trend (e.g., 16.3°C minimum on August 27). High-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss, while light northerly or variable flows limit warm-air advection. These factors position 11–13°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for the daily minimum amid typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
11°C or below 44%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
44%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
24%
16°C
8%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
13%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
11°C or below 44%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$6 Wol.
44%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
24%
16°C
$0 Wol.
8%
17°C
$10 Wol.
14%
18°C
$5 Wol.
11%
19°C
$5 Wol.
13%
20°C
$5 Wol.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, 2026, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight lows are projected around 13–16°C, below the 1991–2020 average of 18.2°C, with recent observations showing a cooling trend (e.g., 16.3°C minimum on August 27). High-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss, while light northerly or variable flows limit warm-air advection. These factors position 11–13°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for the daily minimum amid typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$36Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, 2026, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight lows are projected around 13–16°C, below the 1991–2020 average of 18.2°C, with recent observations showing a cooling trend (e.g., 16.3°C minimum on August 27). High-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss, while light northerly or variable flows limit warm-air advection. These factors position 11–13°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for the daily minimum amid typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$36Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, 2026, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight lows are projected around 13–16°C, below the 1991–2020 average of 18.2°C, with recent observations showing a cooling trend (e.g., 16.3°C minimum on August 27). High-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss, while light northerly or variable flows limit warm-air advection. These factors position 11–13°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for the daily minimum amid typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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