Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating trend driven by the peripheral circulation of distant typhoons, expected to increase cloud cover, bring periods of rain, and strengthen northerly winds starting August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advective cooling and evaporative effects from precipitation, producing overnight lows most likely in the 25–28 °C range according to multiple model runs. Historical August minima in the region typically sit near 26 °C under similar transitional patterns, but uncertainty remains in exact timing of rainfall and wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
28°C 92%
32°C or higher 88%
26°C 48%
25°C 45%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
45%
26°C
48%
27°C
38%
28°C
92%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
88%
28°C 92%
32°C or higher 88%
26°C 48%
25°C 45%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$106 Wol.
24%
23°C
$34 Wol.
31%
24°C
$6 Wol.
47%
25°C
$0 Wol.
45%
26°C
$0 Wol.
48%
27°C
$74 Wol.
38%
28°C
$0 Wol.
92%
29°C
$0 Wol.
8%
30°C
$5 Wol.
8%
31°C
$5 Wol.
7%
32°C or higher
$5 Wol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating trend driven by the peripheral circulation of distant typhoons, expected to increase cloud cover, bring periods of rain, and strengthen northerly winds starting August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advective cooling and evaporative effects from precipitation, producing overnight lows most likely in the 25–28 °C range according to multiple model runs. Historical August minima in the region typically sit near 26 °C under similar transitional patterns, but uncertainty remains in exact timing of rainfall and wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$235Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating trend driven by the peripheral circulation of distant typhoons, expected to increase cloud cover, bring periods of rain, and strengthen northerly winds starting August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advective cooling and evaporative effects from precipitation, producing overnight lows most likely in the 25–28 °C range according to multiple model runs. Historical August minima in the region typically sit near 26 °C under similar transitional patterns, but uncertainty remains in exact timing of rainfall and wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$235Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating trend driven by the peripheral circulation of distant typhoons, expected to increase cloud cover, bring periods of rain, and strengthen northerly winds starting August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advective cooling and evaporative effects from precipitation, producing overnight lows most likely in the 25–28 °C range according to multiple model runs. Historical August minima in the region typically sit near 26 °C under similar transitional patterns, but uncertainty remains in exact timing of rainfall and wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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