Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 31 project a daily low in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns with the leading market-implied outcome of 58-59°F and historical August averages near 56°F, as the shallow, compressed marine layer limits overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cooling extremes. Recent model consensus shows no major trough or offshore flow to disrupt this pattern through the period, keeping probabilities clustered in the 50s-60s range amid typical late-summer climatology.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
66°F or higher 60%
47°F or below 59%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
59%
48-49°F
41%
50-51°F
41%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
41%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66°F or higher
60%
66°F or higher 60%
47°F or below 59%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Wol.
59%
48-49°F
$0 Wol.
41%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
41%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
49%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
31%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
41%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
49%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
49%
66°F or higher
$0 Wol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 31 project a daily low in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns with the leading market-implied outcome of 58-59°F and historical August averages near 56°F, as the shallow, compressed marine layer limits overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cooling extremes. Recent model consensus shows no major trough or offshore flow to disrupt this pattern through the period, keeping probabilities clustered in the 50s-60s range amid typical late-summer climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 31 project a daily low in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns with the leading market-implied outcome of 58-59°F and historical August averages near 56°F, as the shallow, compressed marine layer limits overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cooling extremes. Recent model consensus shows no major trough or offshore flow to disrupt this pattern through the period, keeping probabilities clustered in the 50s-60s range amid typical late-summer climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 31 project a daily low in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns with the leading market-implied outcome of 58-59°F and historical August averages near 56°F, as the shallow, compressed marine layer limits overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cooling extremes. Recent model consensus shows no major trough or offshore flow to disrupt this pattern through the period, keeping probabilities clustered in the 50s-60s range amid typical late-summer climatology.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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