Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 9?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Wol.
$128,891 Wol.
Jul 9, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Wol.
$128,891 Wol.
Jul 9, 2026
20°C or below
$3,325 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,999 Wol.
No
22°C
$13,456 Wol.
No
23°C
$63,211 Wol.
No
24°C
$7,034 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$9,283 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,883 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,846 Wol.
No
28°C
$4,943 Wol.
No
29°C
$4,408 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$6,501 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$128,891Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$128,891Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania