Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 19 high reflects ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs showing afternoon maxima near the long-term July average of 32.5°C. Persistent low-level moisture, typical of the southwest monsoon, supports scattered convection that often caps daytime heating through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping outcomes clustered in this narrow band. Recent upper-level ridging has been weak, limiting extreme heat potential, while sea-surface temperatures in the Strait of Malacca remain near normal and provide little additional thermal boost. Model spread on timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms creates the observed 41.5 %–33.5 % split between the two leading bins, with later runs expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the 19th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,357 Wol.
$113,357 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,357 Wol.
$113,357 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 19 high reflects ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs showing afternoon maxima near the long-term July average of 32.5°C. Persistent low-level moisture, typical of the southwest monsoon, supports scattered convection that often caps daytime heating through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping outcomes clustered in this narrow band. Recent upper-level ridging has been weak, limiting extreme heat potential, while sea-surface temperatures in the Strait of Malacca remain near normal and provide little additional thermal boost. Model spread on timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms creates the observed 41.5 %–33.5 % split between the two leading bins, with later runs expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the 19th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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