Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 29?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 29?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,810 Wol.
$34,810 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,810 Wol.
$34,810 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
28°C or below
$9,694 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,650 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,208 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,809 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,592 Wol.
No
33°C
$4,030 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$3,038 Wol.
No
35°C
$2,068 Wol.
No
36°C
$3,666 Wol.
No
37°C
$1,611 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,443 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,810Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$34,810Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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