Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$230,571 Wol.
$230,571 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$230,571 Wol.
$230,571 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
11°C or below
$3,133 Wol.
No
12°C
$8,302 Wol.
No
13°C
$7,836 Wol.
No
14°C
$14,427 Wol.
No
15°C
$16,660 Wol.
No
16°C
$67,566 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$33,593 Wol.
No
18°C
$36,771 Wol.
No
19°C
$19,835 Wol.
No
20°C
$8,540 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$13,907 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Wolumen
$230,571Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$230,571Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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