Recent high-pressure building over southern England has driven warm, dry southerly flow into London, with Met Office and ECMWF guidance showing daytime maxima stabilizing in the upper 20s °C for June 18. Model runs indicate limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings near 27–28 °C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any residual moisture could shift the daily high by 1 °C. These conditions contrast with earlier June averages near 20 °C and explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28 °C rather than cooler or hotter extremes. Updated forecasts released today will be the next key input before official Met Office verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on June 18?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$199,550 Wol.
$199,550 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$199,550 Wol.
$199,550 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent high-pressure building over southern England has driven warm, dry southerly flow into London, with Met Office and ECMWF guidance showing daytime maxima stabilizing in the upper 20s °C for June 18. Model runs indicate limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings near 27–28 °C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any residual moisture could shift the daily high by 1 °C. These conditions contrast with earlier June averages near 20 °C and explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28 °C rather than cooler or hotter extremes. Updated forecasts released today will be the next key input before official Met Office verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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