National Weather Service forecasts and an active heat advisory through July 16 point to a daily high near 80–82°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution site, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating coastal maxima despite broader Southern California warmth, keeping extremes below inland peaks of 90°F+. July climatology shows average LAX highs around 75–78°F with occasional spikes to the mid-80s during offshore wind events, but current model consensus favors stable conditions without significant warming tomorrow. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance ahead of the July 16 close will refine the final range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$106,822 Wol.
$106,822 Wol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$106,822 Wol.
$106,822 Wol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts and an active heat advisory through July 16 point to a daily high near 80–82°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution site, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating coastal maxima despite broader Southern California warmth, keeping extremes below inland peaks of 90°F+. July climatology shows average LAX highs around 75–78°F with occasional spikes to the mid-80s during offshore wind events, but current model consensus favors stable conditions without significant warming tomorrow. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance ahead of the July 16 close will refine the final range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania