Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 7?
17°C or below 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$260,507 Wol.
$260,507 Wol.
May 7, 2026
17°C or below
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
17°C or below 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$260,507 Wol.
$260,507 Wol.
May 7, 2026
17°C or below
$79,819 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$38,848 Wol.
No
19°C
$29,269 Wol.
No
20°C
$25,556 Wol.
No
21°C
$25,522 Wol.
No
22°C
$19,863 Wol.
No
23°C
$22,460 Wol.
No
24°C
$7,236 Wol.
No
25°C
$5,652 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,361 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,921 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Wolumen
$260,507Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$260,507Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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