Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on April 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 20?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 Wol.
$37,348 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 Wol.
$37,348 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
29°C or below
$2,953 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,816 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,971 Wol.
No
32°C
$3,171 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,905 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,498 Wol.
No
35°C
$8,241 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$3,556 Wol.
No
37°C
$3,953 Wol.
No
38°C
$2,097 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,186 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,348Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$37,348Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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