PAGASA, the Philippine weather authority, forecasted a daytime high of 35°C for Metro Manila on April 28, 2026, amid easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that cap solar heating and intensification potential. Observational data from key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City—yesterday's peak at 34.4°C—align with this projection, reflecting dry-season norms enhanced by urban heat island effects but moderated by 30% rain chance and light winds. Evening readings around 31°C as of 9 PM PST confirm the maximum has likely been reached, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, though model consensus and timing make this improbable; final PAGASA low-high temperature report expected soon will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on April 28?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,799 Wol.
$28,799 Wol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,799 Wol.
$28,799 Wol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
PAGASA, the Philippine weather authority, forecasted a daytime high of 35°C for Metro Manila on April 28, 2026, amid easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that cap solar heating and intensification potential. Observational data from key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City—yesterday's peak at 34.4°C—align with this projection, reflecting dry-season norms enhanced by urban heat island effects but moderated by 30% rain chance and light winds. Evening readings around 31°C as of 9 PM PST confirm the maximum has likely been reached, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, though model consensus and timing make this improbable; final PAGASA low-high temperature report expected soon will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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