Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,634 Wol.
$61,634 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,634 Wol.
$61,634 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$3,141 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,645 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,487 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,572 Wol.
No
23°C
$5,820 Wol.
No
24°C
$12,613 Wol.
No
25°C
$18,910 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$4,711 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,424 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,764 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,547 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$61,634Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$61,634Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania