The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued this morning, projects Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport to reach 29-31°C today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting northern areas, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Morning observations confirm minima of 15-17°C with clear skies early, ideal for daytime heating under typical May climatology where averages hover near 26°C but current high-pressure patterns boost peaks. Global models align, showing minimal cloud interference before afternoon isolated showers (low 0.1-5 mm probability). Realistic challenges include unexpected heavy cloud cover or convective activity capping temps below 27°C, though SMN guidance deems this unlikely; monitor airport data and next update for shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 5?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,736 Wol.
$57,736 Wol.
May 5, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,736 Wol.
$57,736 Wol.
May 5, 2026
17°C or below
$1,035 Wol.
No
18°C
$773 Wol.
No
19°C
$467 Wol.
No
20°C
$850 Wol.
No
21°C
$10,523 Wol.
No
22°C
$13,481 Wol.
No
23°C
$10,963 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,197 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,945 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,509 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$5,993 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued this morning, projects Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport to reach 29-31°C today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting northern areas, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Morning observations confirm minima of 15-17°C with clear skies early, ideal for daytime heating under typical May climatology where averages hover near 26°C but current high-pressure patterns boost peaks. Global models align, showing minimal cloud interference before afternoon isolated showers (low 0.1-5 mm probability). Realistic challenges include unexpected heavy cloud cover or convective activity capping temps below 27°C, though SMN guidance deems this unlikely; monitor airport data and next update for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Wolumen
$57,736Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued this morning, projects Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport to reach 29-31°C today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting northern areas, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Morning observations confirm minima of 15-17°C with clear skies early, ideal for daytime heating under typical May climatology where averages hover near 26°C but current high-pressure patterns boost peaks. Global models align, showing minimal cloud interference before afternoon isolated showers (low 0.1-5 mm probability). Realistic challenges include unexpected heavy cloud cover or convective activity capping temps below 27°C, though SMN guidance deems this unlikely; monitor airport data and next update for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$57,736Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued this morning, projects Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport to reach 29-31°C today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting northern areas, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Morning observations confirm minima of 15-17°C with clear skies early, ideal for daytime heating under typical May climatology where averages hover near 26°C but current high-pressure patterns boost peaks. Global models align, showing minimal cloud interference before afternoon isolated showers (low 0.1-5 mm probability). Realistic challenges include unexpected heavy cloud cover or convective activity capping temps below 27°C, though SMN guidance deems this unlikely; monitor airport data and next update for shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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