Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on April 19?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$79,396 Wol.
$79,396 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$79,396 Wol.
$79,396 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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