Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 10°C on April 25, 2026, backed by official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport weather station (NOAA data source for resolution), which recorded a daily maximum of 10.3°C—rounding to whole degrees as per market criteria. This aligns with recent Gismeteo and AccuWeather model runs forecasting peaks of 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity suppressing solar insolation, and cool northerly flows following a brief warm-up earlier in the week (e.g., 13.6°C max on April 22). With the meteorological day concluded, only a post-finalization revision by NOAA could challenge this, though such adjustments are rare and typically minor. Watch for official NOAA timeseries confirmation at UUWW for final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 25?
10°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$79,573 Wol.
$79,573 Wol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$79,573 Wol.
$79,573 Wol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 10°C on April 25, 2026, backed by official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport weather station (NOAA data source for resolution), which recorded a daily maximum of 10.3°C—rounding to whole degrees as per market criteria. This aligns with recent Gismeteo and AccuWeather model runs forecasting peaks of 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity suppressing solar insolation, and cool northerly flows following a brief warm-up earlier in the week (e.g., 13.6°C max on April 22). With the meteorological day concluded, only a post-finalization revision by NOAA could challenge this, though such adjustments are rare and typically minor. Watch for official NOAA timeseries confirmation at UUWW for final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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