Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on July 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 4?
26°C 51%
25°C 37%
27°C 9.0%
24°C 6%
NOWE
$34,565 Wol.
NOWE
$34,565 Wol.
Jul 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
37%
26°C
51%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 37%
27°C 9.0%
24°C 6%
NOWE
$34,565 Wol.
NOWE
$34,565 Wol.
Jul 4, 2026
20°C or below
$924 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$745 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$795 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,475 Wol.
1%
24°C
$3,553 Wol.
6%
25°C
$14,427 Wol.
37%
26°C
$2,341 Wol.
51%
27°C
$2,189 Wol.
9%
28°C
$1,458 Wol.
1%
29°C
$4,979 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,726 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,565Data zakończenia
Jul 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34,565Data zakończenia
Jul 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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