Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a July 25 high in central New York City near 81–84 °F, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around the low 80s reflecting that consensus. Forecasters cite a moderating maritime air mass and possible afternoon sea-breeze circulation that can shave several degrees off peak readings along the coast. Ensemble model spreads remain modest, with slight differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the thermometer tops 82 °F or stays closer to 80 °F. Historical July averages near 83 °F provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will be the next key data points for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on July 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 25?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 34%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 34%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
77°F or below
$592 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$106 Wol.
6%
80-81°F
$540 Wol.
34%
82-83°F
$266 Wol.
39%
84-85°F
$118 Wol.
18%
86-87°F
$147 Wol.
6%
88-89°F
$108 Wol.
2%
90-91°F
$117 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$195 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$91 Wol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$291 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a July 25 high in central New York City near 81–84 °F, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around the low 80s reflecting that consensus. Forecasters cite a moderating maritime air mass and possible afternoon sea-breeze circulation that can shave several degrees off peak readings along the coast. Ensemble model spreads remain modest, with slight differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the thermometer tops 82 °F or stays closer to 80 °F. Historical July averages near 83 °F provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,573Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a July 25 high in central New York City near 81–84 °F, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around the low 80s reflecting that consensus. Forecasters cite a moderating maritime air mass and possible afternoon sea-breeze circulation that can shave several degrees off peak readings along the coast. Ensemble model spreads remain modest, with slight differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the thermometer tops 82 °F or stays closer to 80 °F. Historical July averages near 83 °F provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,573Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a July 25 high in central New York City near 81–84 °F, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around the low 80s reflecting that consensus. Forecasters cite a moderating maritime air mass and possible afternoon sea-breeze circulation that can shave several degrees off peak readings along the coast. Ensemble model spreads remain modest, with slight differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the thermometer tops 82 °F or stays closer to 80 °F. Historical July averages near 83 °F provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the lower end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will be the next key data points for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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