Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 4?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,350 Wol.
$182,350 Wol.
Jun 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,350 Wol.
$182,350 Wol.
Jun 4, 2026
15°C or below
$138 Wol.
No
16°C
$771 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,202 Wol.
No
18°C
$14,177 Wol.
No
19°C
$31,141 Wol.
No
20°C
$23,574 Wol.
No
21°C
$55,247 Wol.
No
22°C
$33,039 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$12,273 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,550 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$4,237 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$182,350Data zakończenia
Jun 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$182,350Data zakończenia
Jun 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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