Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 67°F around 12:45–12:56 p.m. local time, aligning precisely with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 66-67°F. This outcome reflects typical early May conditions under a persistent marine layer and cool northerly breezes from high pressure over the eastern Pacific, keeping peaks near climatological normals of 67°F. Persistent low clouds and wind limited daytime heating, as captured in hourly METAR reports. While final daily climate summaries rarely revise ASOS data, a rare sensor calibration adjustment or supplemental observation could theoretically challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect under 1% of records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 6?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,165 Wol.
$51,165 Wol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,165 Wol.
$51,165 Wol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 67°F around 12:45–12:56 p.m. local time, aligning precisely with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 66-67°F. This outcome reflects typical early May conditions under a persistent marine layer and cool northerly breezes from high pressure over the eastern Pacific, keeping peaks near climatological normals of 67°F. Persistent low clouds and wind limited daytime heating, as captured in hourly METAR reports. While final daily climate summaries rarely revise ASOS data, a rare sensor calibration adjustment or supplemental observation could theoretically challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect under 1% of records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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