Shanghai's typical midsummer conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure and warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, support a minimum temperature near 28°C on July 31. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 27–28°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, consistent with July climatology showing average lows around 27–28°C and minimal diurnal cooling. The near-certain market pricing at 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and the absence of any cold fronts or heavy rainfall that could enhance radiational cooling. A drop to 25°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover and precipitation, neither of which appears in current observations or short-range guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$31,241 Wol.
$31,241 Wol.
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$31,241 Wol.
$31,241 Wol.
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
$730 Wol.
No
23°C
$634 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,657 Wol.
No
25°C
$5,341 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,551 Wol.
No
27°C
$7,565 Wol.
No
28°C
$7,530 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$2,779 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,117 Wol.
No
31°C
$989 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$348 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's typical midsummer conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure and warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, support a minimum temperature near 28°C on July 31. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 27–28°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, consistent with July climatology showing average lows around 27–28°C and minimal diurnal cooling. The near-certain market pricing at 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and the absence of any cold fronts or heavy rainfall that could enhance radiational cooling. A drop to 25°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover and precipitation, neither of which appears in current observations or short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,241Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's typical midsummer conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure and warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, support a minimum temperature near 28°C on July 31. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 27–28°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, consistent with July climatology showing average lows around 27–28°C and minimal diurnal cooling. The near-certain market pricing at 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and the absence of any cold fronts or heavy rainfall that could enhance radiational cooling. A drop to 25°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover and precipitation, neither of which appears in current observations or short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31,241Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Shanghai's typical midsummer conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure and warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, support a minimum temperature near 28°C on July 31. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 27–28°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, consistent with July climatology showing average lows around 27–28°C and minimal diurnal cooling. The near-certain market pricing at 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and the absence of any cold fronts or heavy rainfall that could enhance radiational cooling. A drop to 25°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover and precipitation, neither of which appears in current observations or short-range guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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