Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) place Munich's August 1 maximum temperature near 30–31 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that favor modest daytime heating. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convection create the narrow spread separating the leading 30 °C and 31 °C market outcomes, while historical climatology for early August shows a typical high of 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around these thresholds before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 1?
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
26°C or below
$15 Wol.
1%
27°C
$10 Wol.
2%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C
$7 Wol.
15%
30°C
$7 Wol.
27%
31°C
$93 Wol.
34%
32°C
$53 Wol.
17%
33°C
$0 Wol.
4%
34°C
$21 Wol.
2%
35°C
$36 Wol.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) place Munich's August 1 maximum temperature near 30–31 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that favor modest daytime heating. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convection create the narrow spread separating the leading 30 °C and 31 °C market outcomes, while historical climatology for early August shows a typical high of 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around these thresholds before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$247Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) place Munich's August 1 maximum temperature near 30–31 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that favor modest daytime heating. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convection create the narrow spread separating the leading 30 °C and 31 °C market outcomes, while historical climatology for early August shows a typical high of 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around these thresholds before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$247Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) place Munich's August 1 maximum temperature near 30–31 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that favor modest daytime heating. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convection create the narrow spread separating the leading 30 °C and 31 °C market outcomes, while historical climatology for early August shows a typical high of 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around these thresholds before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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