Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air, are the main factor shaping trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 1 maximum. Current Korea Meteorological Administration warnings for Busan districts and regional model guidance indicate daytime highs near or above 35°C through early August, with coastal sea breezes providing limited moderation amid high humidity that elevates heat indices. Differentiation among the closely matched leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables: exact timing of peak insolation, potential thin cloud cover reducing surface heating by 1–2°C, shifts in wind direction between onshore flow and downslope warming, and urban heat-island amplification in central Busan. Short-range ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow uncertainty band, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 1?
39°C 34%
38°C 25%
40°C 22%
37°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
36°C or below
3%
37°C
12%
38°C
25%
39°C
34%
40°C
22%
41°C
7%
42°C
3%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
39°C 34%
38°C 25%
40°C 22%
37°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
36°C or below
$26 Wol.
3%
37°C
$92 Wol.
12%
38°C
$79 Wol.
25%
39°C
$49 Wol.
34%
40°C
$70 Wol.
22%
41°C
$294 Wol.
7%
42°C
$317 Wol.
3%
43°C
$131 Wol.
<1%
44°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
45°C
$223 Wol.
<1%
46°C or higher
$143 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air, are the main factor shaping trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 1 maximum. Current Korea Meteorological Administration warnings for Busan districts and regional model guidance indicate daytime highs near or above 35°C through early August, with coastal sea breezes providing limited moderation amid high humidity that elevates heat indices. Differentiation among the closely matched leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables: exact timing of peak insolation, potential thin cloud cover reducing surface heating by 1–2°C, shifts in wind direction between onshore flow and downslope warming, and urban heat-island amplification in central Busan. Short-range ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow uncertainty band, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,434Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air, are the main factor shaping trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 1 maximum. Current Korea Meteorological Administration warnings for Busan districts and regional model guidance indicate daytime highs near or above 35°C through early August, with coastal sea breezes providing limited moderation amid high humidity that elevates heat indices. Differentiation among the closely matched leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables: exact timing of peak insolation, potential thin cloud cover reducing surface heating by 1–2°C, shifts in wind direction between onshore flow and downslope warming, and urban heat-island amplification in central Busan. Short-range ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow uncertainty band, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,434Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air, are the main factor shaping trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 1 maximum. Current Korea Meteorological Administration warnings for Busan districts and regional model guidance indicate daytime highs near or above 35°C through early August, with coastal sea breezes providing limited moderation amid high humidity that elevates heat indices. Differentiation among the closely matched leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables: exact timing of peak insolation, potential thin cloud cover reducing surface heating by 1–2°C, shifts in wind direction between onshore flow and downslope warming, and urban heat-island amplification in central Busan. Short-range ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow uncertainty band, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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