Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 1?
22°C or below 25%
27°C 24%
26°C 22%
24°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
25%
23°C
13%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
17%
22°C or below 25%
27°C 24%
26°C 22%
24°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Wol.
25%
23°C
$0 Wol.
13%
24°C
$0 Wol.
17%
25°C
$0 Wol.
17%
26°C
$0 Wol.
22%
27°C
$0 Wol.
24%
28°C
$0 Wol.
16%
29°C
$0 Wol.
8%
30°C
$32 Wol.
15%
31°C
$22 Wol.
8%
32°C or higher
$22 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$85Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$85Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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