Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 1?
33°C 30%
32°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
14%
35°C
10%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 30%
32°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$443 Wol.
1%
29°C
$42 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
10%
31°C
$0 Wol.
18%
32°C
$0 Wol.
30%
33°C
$0 Wol.
30%
34°C
$0 Wol.
14%
35°C
$0 Wol.
10%
36°C
$13 Wol.
6%
37°C or higher
$10 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$508Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$508Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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