Current forecasts from Hong Kong Observatory-aligned models and regional guidance project a daily minimum of 25°C on August 1, driven by persistent southerly monsoon flow, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where average lows hover near 26–27°C but cloud cover and precipitation often produce brief dips to 25°C without triggering stronger cooling. Trader consensus at 86% for 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and absence of tropical disturbances or clear-sky setups that could push readings to 24°C or lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day convective changes remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
25°C 71%
24°C 22%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
$21,275 Wol.
$21,275 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
34%
25°C
74%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 71%
24°C 22%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
$21,275 Wol.
$21,275 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$1,760 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$2,503 Wol.
1%
23°C
$3,935 Wol.
5%
24°C
$2,702 Wol.
34%
25°C
$3,746 Wol.
74%
26°C
$4,096 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,047 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$553 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$326 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$385 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$221 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Hong Kong Observatory-aligned models and regional guidance project a daily minimum of 25°C on August 1, driven by persistent southerly monsoon flow, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where average lows hover near 26–27°C but cloud cover and precipitation often produce brief dips to 25°C without triggering stronger cooling. Trader consensus at 86% for 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and absence of tropical disturbances or clear-sky setups that could push readings to 24°C or lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day convective changes remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,275Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Hong Kong Observatory-aligned models and regional guidance project a daily minimum of 25°C on August 1, driven by persistent southerly monsoon flow, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where average lows hover near 26–27°C but cloud cover and precipitation often produce brief dips to 25°C without triggering stronger cooling. Trader consensus at 86% for 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and absence of tropical disturbances or clear-sky setups that could push readings to 24°C or lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day convective changes remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$21,275Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Hong Kong Observatory-aligned models and regional guidance project a daily minimum of 25°C on August 1, driven by persistent southerly monsoon flow, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where average lows hover near 26–27°C but cloud cover and precipitation often produce brief dips to 25°C without triggering stronger cooling. Trader consensus at 86% for 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and absence of tropical disturbances or clear-sky setups that could push readings to 24°C or lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day convective changes remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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