Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 3 centers on the 24–26°C range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions moderated by frequent showers and cloud cover that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with a warming trend and current ENSO-neutral influences. Daily variability arises from monsoon trough positioning, wind patterns, and urban heat effects at official measurement sites. Short-range models show modest uncertainty in exact minimums due to potential convective activity, with historical August lows averaging near 26°C but occasionally dipping lower under clearer skies or stronger onshore flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
25°C 32%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
32%
26°C
20%
27°C
15%
28°C
14%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 32%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
32%
26°C
20%
27°C
15%
28°C
14%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 3 centers on the 24–26°C range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions moderated by frequent showers and cloud cover that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with a warming trend and current ENSO-neutral influences. Daily variability arises from monsoon trough positioning, wind patterns, and urban heat effects at official measurement sites. Short-range models show modest uncertainty in exact minimums due to potential convective activity, with historical August lows averaging near 26°C but occasionally dipping lower under clearer skies or stronger onshore flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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