Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensembles, keeps 31°C and 32°C outcomes nearly tied. Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime maxima around 30–33°C on August 3, with variations driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak advection of warmer continental air. Urban heat island effects in Amsterdam can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while minor timing shifts in maximum temperature resolution criteria further split trader sentiment. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$20 Wol.
1%
28°C
$132 Wol.
2%
29°C
$153 Wol.
4%
30°C
$268 Wol.
14%
31°C
$178 Wol.
28%
32°C
$382 Wol.
25%
33°C
$991 Wol.
14%
34°C
$152 Wol.
7%
35°C
$135 Wol.
4%
36°C
$116 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$106 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensembles, keeps 31°C and 32°C outcomes nearly tied. Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime maxima around 30–33°C on August 3, with variations driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak advection of warmer continental air. Urban heat island effects in Amsterdam can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while minor timing shifts in maximum temperature resolution criteria further split trader sentiment. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,633Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensembles, keeps 31°C and 32°C outcomes nearly tied. Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime maxima around 30–33°C on August 3, with variations driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak advection of warmer continental air. Urban heat island effects in Amsterdam can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while minor timing shifts in maximum temperature resolution criteria further split trader sentiment. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,633Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensembles, keeps 31°C and 32°C outcomes nearly tied. Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime maxima around 30–33°C on August 3, with variations driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak advection of warmer continental air. Urban heat island effects in Amsterdam can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while minor timing shifts in maximum temperature resolution criteria further split trader sentiment. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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