Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 27°C on July 31, 2026, aligning with model guidance showing modest daytime heating under increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and residual monsoon moisture that suppressed the typical July peak near 31–32°C. This outcome reflects verified surface observations rather than forecasts, with traders converging at 100% implied probability once preliminary data became available. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or instrument recalibration, both exceedingly rare given the agency’s rigorous quality controls and historical consistency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,305 Wol.
$174,305 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,305 Wol.
$174,305 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 27°C on July 31, 2026, aligning with model guidance showing modest daytime heating under increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and residual monsoon moisture that suppressed the typical July peak near 31–32°C. This outcome reflects verified surface observations rather than forecasts, with traders converging at 100% implied probability once preliminary data became available. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or instrument recalibration, both exceedingly rare given the agency’s rigorous quality controls and historical consistency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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