Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum temperature range of 30–32°C for September 23, with easterly winds of force 4 expected to advect slightly cooler maritime air while isolated showers and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal maximum of approximately 30.5°C for late September. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because small differences in forecast timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C, with newer model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 23?
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
29°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
29°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
3%
27°C
$0 Wol.
4%
28°C
$51 Wol.
5%
29°C
$0 Wol.
19%
30°C
$0 Wol.
22%
31°C
$0 Wol.
30%
32°C
$159 Wol.
25%
33°C
$94 Wol.
10%
34°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum temperature range of 30–32°C for September 23, with easterly winds of force 4 expected to advect slightly cooler maritime air while isolated showers and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal maximum of approximately 30.5°C for late September. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because small differences in forecast timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C, with newer model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$308Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum temperature range of 30–32°C for September 23, with easterly winds of force 4 expected to advect slightly cooler maritime air while isolated showers and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal maximum of approximately 30.5°C for late September. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because small differences in forecast timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C, with newer model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$308Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum temperature range of 30–32°C for September 23, with easterly winds of force 4 expected to advect slightly cooler maritime air while isolated showers and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal maximum of approximately 30.5°C for late September. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because small differences in forecast timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C, with newer model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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