Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
25°C 33%
26°C 29%
27°C 27%
24°C or below 24%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
29%
27°C
25%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
26°C 29%
27°C 27%
24°C or below 24%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$186 Wol.
24%
25°C
$67 Wol.
22%
26°C
$29 Wol.
29%
27°C
$36 Wol.
25%
28°C
$25 Wol.
16%
29°C
$8 Wol.
9%
30°C
$0 Wol.
3%
31°C
$0 Wol.
3%
32°C
$16 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$31 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$429Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$429Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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