Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions on September 18 under the influence of the northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, with light easterly winds favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover or rain. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor model variations in wind strength and boundary-layer moisture, while the low precipitation risk reduces the chance of cooling showers. Updated official guidance or afternoon observations could refine the precise high before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 12%
33°C 11%
NOWE
$17,078 Wol.
NOWE
$17,078 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 12%
33°C 11%
NOWE
$17,078 Wol.
NOWE
$17,078 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$1,885 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,550 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,450 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$579 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,162 Wol.
2%
30°C
$1,321 Wol.
12%
31°C
$2,158 Wol.
41%
32°C
$3,220 Wol.
37%
33°C
$1,212 Wol.
11%
34°C
$1,173 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$1,369 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions on September 18 under the influence of the northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, with light easterly winds favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover or rain. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor model variations in wind strength and boundary-layer moisture, while the low precipitation risk reduces the chance of cooling showers. Updated official guidance or afternoon observations could refine the precise high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,078Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions on September 18 under the influence of the northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, with light easterly winds favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover or rain. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor model variations in wind strength and boundary-layer moisture, while the low precipitation risk reduces the chance of cooling showers. Updated official guidance or afternoon observations could refine the precise high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,078Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions on September 18 under the influence of the northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, with light easterly winds favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover or rain. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor model variations in wind strength and boundary-layer moisture, while the low precipitation risk reduces the chance of cooling showers. Updated official guidance or afternoon observations could refine the precise high before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania