Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C for Guangzhou’s September 19 high, with implied probabilities within a few points of each other, underscoring forecast uncertainty two days ahead. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta currently favor daytime maxima near the upper end of seasonal norms, while any strengthening onshore flow or passing shortwave trough could cap readings a degree or two lower. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover timing, with official China Meteorological Administration updates providing the next resolution-relevant data. Historical September extremes in the city rarely exceed 37°C, lending context to the low probabilities assigned to 38°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 19?
36°C 37%
35°C 28%
34°C 21%
38°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
28%
36°C
29%
37°C
12%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 28%
34°C 21%
38°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C
$0 Wol.
3%
32°C
$0 Wol.
13%
33°C
$20 Wol.
5%
34°C
$0 Wol.
21%
35°C
$0 Wol.
28%
36°C
$25 Wol.
29%
37°C
$0 Wol.
12%
38°C
$0 Wol.
18%
39°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C for Guangzhou’s September 19 high, with implied probabilities within a few points of each other, underscoring forecast uncertainty two days ahead. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta currently favor daytime maxima near the upper end of seasonal norms, while any strengthening onshore flow or passing shortwave trough could cap readings a degree or two lower. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover timing, with official China Meteorological Administration updates providing the next resolution-relevant data. Historical September extremes in the city rarely exceed 37°C, lending context to the low probabilities assigned to 38°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$45Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C for Guangzhou’s September 19 high, with implied probabilities within a few points of each other, underscoring forecast uncertainty two days ahead. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta currently favor daytime maxima near the upper end of seasonal norms, while any strengthening onshore flow or passing shortwave trough could cap readings a degree or two lower. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover timing, with official China Meteorological Administration updates providing the next resolution-relevant data. Historical September extremes in the city rarely exceed 37°C, lending context to the low probabilities assigned to 38°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$45Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C for Guangzhou’s September 19 high, with implied probabilities within a few points of each other, underscoring forecast uncertainty two days ahead. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta currently favor daytime maxima near the upper end of seasonal norms, while any strengthening onshore flow or passing shortwave trough could cap readings a degree or two lower. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover timing, with official China Meteorological Administration updates providing the next resolution-relevant data. Historical September extremes in the city rarely exceed 37°C, lending context to the low probabilities assigned to 38°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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