Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology, when monsoon moisture and increasing cloudiness suppress maxima below peak summer values near 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on highs near 25°C amid 60–80% humidity and minimal solar insolation. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because updated short-range guidance shows no significant warming trend or clear-sky breakout before the date, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
14%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
21°C
$5 Wol.
4%
22°C
$13 Wol.
8%
23°C
$551 Wol.
17%
24°C
$947 Wol.
27%
25°C
$6 Wol.
24%
26°C
$0 Wol.
24%
27°C
$0 Wol.
14%
28°C
$7 Wol.
9%
29°C
$0 Wol.
13%
30°C or higher
$6 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology, when monsoon moisture and increasing cloudiness suppress maxima below peak summer values near 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on highs near 25°C amid 60–80% humidity and minimal solar insolation. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because updated short-range guidance shows no significant warming trend or clear-sky breakout before the date, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,536Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology, when monsoon moisture and increasing cloudiness suppress maxima below peak summer values near 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on highs near 25°C amid 60–80% humidity and minimal solar insolation. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because updated short-range guidance shows no significant warming trend or clear-sky breakout before the date, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,536Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology, when monsoon moisture and increasing cloudiness suppress maxima below peak summer values near 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on highs near 25°C amid 60–80% humidity and minimal solar insolation. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because updated short-range guidance shows no significant warming trend or clear-sky breakout before the date, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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