Persistent rainfall tied to the Huaxi autumn rain period, which Chongqing meteorological authorities expect to begin around September 15 with above-average totals, is the dominant factor capping temperatures. Official forecasts for September 17 show widespread moderate to heavy rain driven by a shear line and low-level jet, producing extensive cloud cover that sharply reduces daytime solar heating and keeps surface maxima in the 20–25 °C range. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains modest, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C; any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 24 °C or higher, while heavier or more prolonged rain would reinforce the cooler outcomes already favored by traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
21°C or below 35%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
24°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
35%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
13%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 35%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
24°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$877 Wol.
35%
22°C
$112 Wol.
25%
23°C
$6 Wol.
24%
24°C
$237 Wol.
13%
25°C
$120 Wol.
6%
26°C
$50 Wol.
3%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C
$0 Wol.
1%
29°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$171 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall tied to the Huaxi autumn rain period, which Chongqing meteorological authorities expect to begin around September 15 with above-average totals, is the dominant factor capping temperatures. Official forecasts for September 17 show widespread moderate to heavy rain driven by a shear line and low-level jet, producing extensive cloud cover that sharply reduces daytime solar heating and keeps surface maxima in the 20–25 °C range. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains modest, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C; any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 24 °C or higher, while heavier or more prolonged rain would reinforce the cooler outcomes already favored by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,715Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall tied to the Huaxi autumn rain period, which Chongqing meteorological authorities expect to begin around September 15 with above-average totals, is the dominant factor capping temperatures. Official forecasts for September 17 show widespread moderate to heavy rain driven by a shear line and low-level jet, producing extensive cloud cover that sharply reduces daytime solar heating and keeps surface maxima in the 20–25 °C range. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains modest, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C; any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 24 °C or higher, while heavier or more prolonged rain would reinforce the cooler outcomes already favored by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,715Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall tied to the Huaxi autumn rain period, which Chongqing meteorological authorities expect to begin around September 15 with above-average totals, is the dominant factor capping temperatures. Official forecasts for September 17 show widespread moderate to heavy rain driven by a shear line and low-level jet, producing extensive cloud cover that sharply reduces daytime solar heating and keeps surface maxima in the 20–25 °C range. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains modest, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C; any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 24 °C or higher, while heavier or more prolonged rain would reinforce the cooler outcomes already favored by traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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