Recent forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms and light winds, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions that promote cloud cover and frequent showers. These patterns typically moderate peak temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 31°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong signals for intensification or clearer skies that could push readings to 34°C or higher. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline tempered by slight upside potential from any brief breaks in cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ capture the low likelihood of atypical heating amid ongoing rain chances. Updated model runs and PAGASA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
33°C 47%
32°C 32%
34°C 14%
31°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
10%
32°C
32%
33°C
47%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 47%
32°C 32%
34°C 14%
31°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Wol.
3%
28°C
$10 Wol.
3%
29°C
$9 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
6%
31°C
$0 Wol.
10%
32°C
$0 Wol.
32%
33°C
$1,652 Wol.
47%
34°C
$26 Wol.
14%
35°C
$28 Wol.
2%
36°C
$10 Wol.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms and light winds, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions that promote cloud cover and frequent showers. These patterns typically moderate peak temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 31°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong signals for intensification or clearer skies that could push readings to 34°C or higher. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline tempered by slight upside potential from any brief breaks in cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ capture the low likelihood of atypical heating amid ongoing rain chances. Updated model runs and PAGASA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,755Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms and light winds, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions that promote cloud cover and frequent showers. These patterns typically moderate peak temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 31°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong signals for intensification or clearer skies that could push readings to 34°C or higher. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline tempered by slight upside potential from any brief breaks in cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ capture the low likelihood of atypical heating amid ongoing rain chances. Updated model runs and PAGASA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,755Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms and light winds, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions that promote cloud cover and frequent showers. These patterns typically moderate peak temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 31°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong signals for intensification or clearer skies that could push readings to 34°C or higher. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline tempered by slight upside potential from any brief breaks in cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ capture the low likelihood of atypical heating amid ongoing rain chances. Updated model runs and PAGASA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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