Persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on September 13, aligning closely with the market’s 64% implied probability on 33°C and 29.5% on 32°C. Forecast models from multiple sources show strong daytime radiative heating under minimal cloud cover, light easterly or southerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that limit evaporative cooling. Recent observations confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with daily highs near 31–32°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region’s continental climate. Model consensus leaves limited room for a 34°C outlier or cooler readings, as no incoming fronts or significant moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before peak afternoon temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 8%
31°C <1%
NOWE
$15,235 Wol.
NOWE
$15,235 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
30%
33°C
65%
34°C
8%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 8%
31°C <1%
NOWE
$15,235 Wol.
NOWE
$15,235 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
$239 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$173 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$320 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$260 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$385 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,928 Wol.
1%
32°C
$4,775 Wol.
30%
33°C
$3,777 Wol.
65%
34°C
$2,560 Wol.
8%
35°C
$405 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$414 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on September 13, aligning closely with the market’s 64% implied probability on 33°C and 29.5% on 32°C. Forecast models from multiple sources show strong daytime radiative heating under minimal cloud cover, light easterly or southerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that limit evaporative cooling. Recent observations confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with daily highs near 31–32°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region’s continental climate. Model consensus leaves limited room for a 34°C outlier or cooler readings, as no incoming fronts or significant moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,235Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on September 13, aligning closely with the market’s 64% implied probability on 33°C and 29.5% on 32°C. Forecast models from multiple sources show strong daytime radiative heating under minimal cloud cover, light easterly or southerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that limit evaporative cooling. Recent observations confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with daily highs near 31–32°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region’s continental climate. Model consensus leaves limited room for a 34°C outlier or cooler readings, as no incoming fronts or significant moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,235Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on September 13, aligning closely with the market’s 64% implied probability on 33°C and 29.5% on 32°C. Forecast models from multiple sources show strong daytime radiative heating under minimal cloud cover, light easterly or southerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that limit evaporative cooling. Recent observations confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with daily highs near 31–32°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region’s continental climate. Model consensus leaves limited room for a 34°C outlier or cooler readings, as no incoming fronts or significant moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before peak afternoon temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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